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Oil prices slip from highs; Middle East tensions, steady OPEC output offer support

Published 2024-04-03, 10:46 p/m
Updated 2024-04-04, 06:00 a/m
© Reuters.

Investing.com-- Oil prices edged lower Thursday, retreating slightly from five-month highs after worsening geopolitical conditions in the Middle East presented more potential supply disruptions.

At 05:55 ET (09:55 GMT), West Texas Intermediate crude futures fell 0.1% to $85.39 a barrel, while Brent oil futures expiring in June fell 0.1% to $89.27 a barrel, both having previously climbed to their highest levels since October.

"Brent is facing some resistance at the US$90/bbl level, with it unable to break above it so far," ING analysts said, in a note.

Middle East tensions, Russian disruptions boost oil prices

The crude market had seen demand after Iran threatened retaliation for a perceived Israeli strike on its embassy in Damascus, pointing to worsening conditions in the Middle East. The threat also came as the Israel-Hamas war showed little signs of de-escalating, as a slew of recent ceasefire proposals fell through.

On the Russia-Ukraine front, attacks on key Russian refineries heralded more supply disruptions for Moscow. Several Russian oil and fuel refineries either cut production or were taken out of commission in the wake of Ukrainian drone strikes. 

At the same time, the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and allies voted to maintain its current band of production cuts on Wednesday, presenting a tight outlook for crude in the near-term. 

Improving Chinese economy aids demand outlook

Crude prices were also cheered by improving economic conditions in top importer China, following a string of positive purchasing managers index readings for March.

Chinese manufacturing activity rose back into expansionary territory, while service sector growth also improved.

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But the world’s largest oil importer still has a long road ahead in shoring up its economy, especially as it still grapples with the aftermath of the COVID-19 pandemic. 

Mixed US inventories cap oil gains 

Crude was held back by mixed readings on U.S. inventories, especially as official data showed an unexpected build in overall crude stockpiles

The build came as U.S. production remained near record highs- a trend that is expected to somewhat offset a tight outlook for oil markets.

But U.S. fuel demand was also seen rebounding from winter lows, with gasoline inventories seeing a bigger-than-expected draw in the past week. The trend pointed to robust demand in the world’s largest fuel consumer. 

(Ambar Warrick contributed to this article.)

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