Currency Forecast

When the U.S. Dollar broke out to new highs last year, it looked like nothing could stop the greenback. And the headwind of a strengthening dollar made it difficult for precious metals like gold...

USD: Be careful chasing the dollar reboundThe release of quarterly earnings in the US continues to paint a better picture for American corporates, with big tech companies beating estimates yesterday....

As key central bank meetings draw closer, markets appear to favor European currencies to the detriment of the dollar, whose rate advantage is being eroded. The two-year EUR-USD swap rate differential...

Brazilian President Lula recently asked the following questions:‘’Every night I ask myself why should every country have to be tied to the US Dollar for...

The Hungarian forint sold off 2% yesterday after a local central banker surprised markets by suggesting Hungary could make preparations to start easing interest rates. Central banks in Eastern Europe...

Do we need to worry about the end of the US dollar dominance in international trade – the de-dollarization of global finance?There is widespread discussion and concern in some quarters as China...

With two weeks to go before the Fed and ECB meetings, central bank speakers have their last chances to steer market expectations before the quiet periods start. However, it appears markets have fully...

FX markets continue to be buffeted by opposing forces and are struggling to define short-term trends. Despite some positive Chinese activity data, Asian currencies are not rallying, suggesting that...

We think EUR/USD may break 1.10 next week before the US payrolls, as the dollar remains vulnerable despite some repricing of dovish Fed expectations.USD: Struggling to find supportThe dollar has...

With the yen bearing the brunt of the risk rally, the dollar saw some delayed benefits from the re-tuning in Fed rate expectations and enjoyed a modest recovery yesterday. Today, all eyes will be on...

Markets have been more stable so far this week, as investors’ assessment of the risks to European lenders have improved. This has supported the European stock markets and the single...

Markets have reassessed the risks to European lenders and looked considerably less concerned as markets re-opened on Monday. If this calm in Europe continues, monetary policy divergence is what may be...

While most investors were trying to gauge the Federal Reserve’s next moves in light of recent bank failures last week, something interesting happened in Moscow.During a three-day state visit,...

The recent failure of two US banks, SVB and Signature, have understandably triggered a major re-appraisal of Fed tightening prospects. This has seen two-year EUR/USD swap rate differentials move to...