Dow Jones Holds the Line, Semiconductors Shine, Nasdaq in Limbo: What Lies Ahead?
Declan Fallon | Aug 22, 2023 03:17
I didn't mention this yesterday, but the Dow Jones Industrial Average has managed to defend breakout support. While other indexes fluff their lines, there is still a buying opportunity for this index.
While the index has undercut its 50-day MA, one day's worth of gains would be enough to regain it. While yesterday's volume registered as accumulation, the 'hammer' candelstick, paired with the day before yesterday's, has the potential to be a tweezer bottom assuming a higher finish today.
The other index to watch is the Semiconductor Index. This index is an important bellwether for the Nasdaq and Nasdaq 100.
The Semiconductor Index did manage a strong rally, but that only brought it as far as former resistance, resistance that could stall this nascent recovery.
The CCI indicator has climbed out of an oversold state (although a technical 'buy' for this index is a cross above 100). Even if it manages to break through today, it will soon find itself challenging converged 20-day and 50-day MAs.
If there is a warning sign, it's that Nasdaq breadth metrics are caught in no man's land and, therefore, vulnerable to further losses. This could be the start of a more protracted decline, at least until the percentage of Nasdaq stocks on point-n-figure 'buy' signals and above their 50-day and 200-day MAs reaches an oversold state.
Optimists could argue it's someway from becoming overbought, but realistically, looking at a chart that has delivered a 13-year rally to see a decline that could go into 2024 after peaking in 2021 is not unreasonable, nor should it be seen as surprising.
Get The App
As an investor, we are in the 'hold' part of the investment. Markets aren't overbought enough to consider profit-taking or covered call selling, but neither are they oversold enough to suggest buying would deliver good value.
Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers.